US strikes Iran by...?
GeopoliticsPoliticsMiddle EastWorld4mo left

US strikes Iran by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

$22.2M
Volume 24h
$421.3M
Total Volume
$3.3M
Liquidity
65
Markets

Markets in this Event

US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by December 31, 2025?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

YES60%
41%NO
$797.6K / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

YES69%
32%NO
$100.1K / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

YES11%
90%NO
$3.6M / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

YES45%
56%NO
$437.6K / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$10.3M / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

YES1%
100%NO
$3.8M / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

YES2%
98%NO
$1.4M / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

YES6%
95%NO
$655.4K / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

YES74%
27%NO
$81.8K / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?

$0 / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?

$0 / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?

$0 / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?

$0 / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?

$0 / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?

$0 / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?

$0 / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?

$0 / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?

YES30%
70%NO
$68.0K / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

YES13%
88%NO
$300.1K / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

YES17%
84%NO
$179.0K / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

YES20%
80%NO
$78.9K / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

YES26%
75%NO
$86.4K / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?

YES23%
77%NO
$115.5K / 24h volDetails β†’

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

YES32%
69%NO
$291.7K / 24h volDetails β†’
⚠️ Informational only. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Data from Polymarket's public API.
US strikes Iran by...?