Iran military action against Israel on...?
GeopoliticsIsrael x IranIsraelMiddle East5d 15h left

Iran military action against Israel on...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Israel’s soil on the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact Israeli ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Israel counts. Strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip will not be counted as Israel. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Israeli territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Iranian ground operatives will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after the specified date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have taken place.

$883.2K
Volume 24h
$1.5M
Total Volume
$1.0M
Liquidity
14
Markets

Markets in this Event

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 18, 2026?

YES100%
0%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails →

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?

YES0%
100%NO
$830.2K / 24h volDetails →

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026?

YES100%
0%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails →

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 21, 2026?

YES100%
0%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails →

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?

YES100%
0%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails →

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?

YES14%
86%NO
$12.0K / 24h volDetails →

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?

YES99%
2%NO
$21.7K / 24h volDetails →

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?

YES82%
19%NO
$8.3K / 24h volDetails →

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 26, 2026?

YES82%
19%NO
$4.0K / 24h volDetails →

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?

YES78%
23%NO
$794 / 24h volDetails →

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 28, 2026?

YES75%
26%NO
$282 / 24h volDetails →

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?

YES73%
28%NO
$125 / 24h volDetails →

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?

YES72%
28%NO
$526 / 24h volDetails →

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?

YES70%
30%NO
$467 / 24h volDetails →
⚠️ Informational only. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Data from Polymarket's public API.
Iran military action against Israel on...?