Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
GeopoliticsIsraelMiddle EastLebanon5d 13h left

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanese ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, including buffer zones. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Lebanese territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.

$494.5K
Volume 24h
$783.4K
Total Volume
$83.3K
Liquidity
14
Markets

Markets in this Event

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 19, 2026?

YES100%
0%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails →

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?

YES33%
67%NO
$441.5K / 24h volDetails →

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 22, 2026?

YES100%
0%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails →

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 25, 2026?

YES100%
0%NO
$8.1K / 24h volDetails →

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 27, 2026?

YES93%
8%NO
$3.0K / 24h volDetails →

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 29, 2026?

YES92%
8%NO
$678 / 24h volDetails →

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 18, 2026?

YES100%
0%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails →

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 21, 2026?

YES100%
0%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails →

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 23, 2026?

YES100%
0%NO
$NaN / 24h volDetails →

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 24, 2026?

YES100%
0%NO
$35.9K / 24h volDetails →

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 26, 2026?

YES95%
5%NO
$2.8K / 24h volDetails →

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 28, 2026?

YES93%
8%NO
$904 / 24h volDetails →

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 30, 2026?

YES91%
9%NO
$971 / 24h volDetails →

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 31, 2026?

YES90%
11%NO
$690 / 24h volDetails →
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