1
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
YES0%
100%NO
Vol 24h
$10.7M
Liquidity
$1.9M
Ends
10mo
Live Data
Live Prediction Market Trends & Forecast Odds
Real-time insights from the world's largest prediction markets. Discover what people think will happen next.
0
Active Markets
$0.0M
Volume (24h)
0+
Events Tracked
0
Categories
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LIVE
Trending Prediction Markets Right Now
Sorted by 24-hour trading volume — the most active markets globally
30 markets
2
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
YES0%
100%NO
Vol 24h
$7.6M
Liquidity
$561.7K
Ends
4mo
3
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
YES1%
99%NO
Vol 24h
$3.8M
Liquidity
$630.3K
Ends
Ended
4
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
YES10%
90%NO
Vol 24h
$3.6M
Liquidity
$1.2M
Ends
Ended
5
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
YES0%
100%NO
Vol 24h
$3.0M
Liquidity
$3.5M
Ends
3d 10h
6
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
YES0%
100%NO
Vol 24h
$2.4M
Liquidity
$1.3M
Ends
3mo
7
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
YES1%
99%NO
Vol 24h
$1.7M
Liquidity
$2.1M
Ends
20d 5h
8
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
YES2%
98%NO
Vol 24h
$1.4M
Liquidity
$271.2K
Ends
Ended
9
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
YES12%
88%NO
Vol 24h
$1.4M
Liquidity
$81.4K
Ends
NaNh
10
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
YES4%
96%NO
Vol 24h
$1.3M
Liquidity
$1.4M
Ends
10mo
11
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YES1%
99%NO
Vol 24h
$1.2M
Liquidity
$1.3M
Ends
2y
12
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
YES39%
62%NO
Vol 24h
$1.1M
Liquidity
$44.2K
Ends
NaNh
13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
YES17%
84%NO
Vol 24h
$1.0M
Liquidity
$1.2M
Ends
10mo
14
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
YES0%
100%NO
Vol 24h
$905.1K
Liquidity
$1.2M
Ends
10mo
15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?
YES0%
100%NO
Vol 24h
$902.2K
Liquidity
$116.2K
Ends
Ended
16
Thunder vs. Pistons
YES23%
78%NO
Vol 24h
$894.9K
Liquidity
$278.9K
Ends
5h
17
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs New Zealand
YES0%
100%NO
Vol 24h
$872.1K
Liquidity
$243.9K
Ends
6d 18h
18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
YES2%
98%NO
Vol 24h
$849.1K
Liquidity
$1.4M
Ends
20d 5h
19
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YES1%
99%NO
Vol 24h
$799.1K
Liquidity
$506.5K
Ends
2y
20
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
YES60%
40%NO
Vol 24h
$797.6K
Liquidity
$488.6K
Ends
4mo
21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25?
YES0%
100%NO
Vol 24h
$796.7K
Liquidity
$377.8K
Ends
Ended
22
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
YES13%
87%NO
Vol 24h
$791.8K
Liquidity
$63.7K
Ends
3d 10h
23
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
YES24%
76%NO
Vol 24h
$780.0K
Liquidity
$99.4K
Ends
4mo
24
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
YES2%
98%NO
Vol 24h
$753.4K
Liquidity
$29.5K
Ends
3d 10h
25
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
YES0%
100%NO
Vol 24h
$746.6K
Liquidity
$60.8K
Ends
10mo
26
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YES1%
99%NO
Vol 24h
$725.0K
Liquidity
$594.3K
Ends
2y
27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
YES1%
99%NO
Vol 24h
$713.9K
Liquidity
$2.1M
Ends
20d 5h
28
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?
YES57%
43%NO
Vol 24h
$703.1K
Liquidity
$305.4K
Ends
1h
29
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YES1%
99%NO
Vol 24h
$697.5K
Liquidity
$874.8K
Ends
2y
30
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YES6%
94%NO
Vol 24h
$688.4K
Liquidity
$435.3K
Ends
2y
⚡ Markets With
Markets With the Biggest Probability Changes
Most contested markets in the last 24 hours — where the crowd is divided
12345678
Contested1h
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?
YES 57%$703.1K / 24h
Contested4mo
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
YES 60%$797.6K / 24h
High ActivityNaNh
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
YES 39%$1.1M / 24h
High Activity4mo
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
YES 24%$780.0K / 24h
High Activity5h
Thunder vs. Pistons
YES 23%$894.9K / 24h
High Activity10mo
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
YES 17%$1.0M / 24h
High Activity3d 10h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
YES 13%$791.8K / 24h
High ActivityNaNh
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
YES 12%$1.4M / 24h
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⭐ Featured Forecast
The most watched prediction market right now
GeopoliticsPoliticsMiddle East4mo left
US strikes Iran by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolv…
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
YES0%
100%NO
$419.1M
Total Volume
$22.2M
24h Volume
$3.6M
Liquidity
Related Markets (57)
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?YES 0%
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?YES 0%
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?YES 0%
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What Are Prediction Markets?
Prediction markets allow participants to forecast real-world outcomes by trading contracts whose prices reflect probability estimates. Platforms like Polymarket aggregate collective intelligence to estimate the likelihood of future events across politics, finance, technology, and global affairs.
Why Prediction Markets Matter
- 1Often outperform traditional polls and expert forecasts
- 2Reflect real-money conviction — not just opinions
- 3Update in real time as news breaks
- 4Capture collective intelligence from thousands of participants
Frequently Asked Questions
Polymarket is a prediction market platform where users trade on real-world event outcomes. Contract prices reflect the market's collective probability estimate for each outcome.
Research consistently shows that prediction markets often outperform traditional polling and expert forecasting by aggregating diverse information and providing financial incentives for accuracy.
No. PolyTrends is an independent analytics platform that provides educational insights based on publicly available Polymarket data. We are not affiliated with or endorsed by Polymarket.
Percentages represent the current market price for each outcome, which serves as a real-time probability estimate based on collective trading activity.
Market data is refreshed approximately every 60 seconds to provide near real-time insights while respecting API rate limits.
Popular Prediction Topics
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