Whale Tracker Guide
Everything you need to know about tracking smart money on Polymarket — how whales are identified, what each feature reveals, and how to interpret the data.
How It Works
What counts as a whale?
A wallet is tracked as a whale if it meets either of these criteria:
Whale Tiers
| Tier | Description |
|---|---|
| 🐳 Whale | Core tracking population — meets the base $5K / $25K threshold |
| 🦈 Mega Whale | Top-tier traders by volume and influence — the highest-impact wallets on the platform |
Influence Score (0–100)
A composite score measuring a wallet's overall market impact, weighted across five factors:
| Factor | Weight | What it measures |
|---|---|---|
| Profitability | 30% | Realized PnL on resolved markets |
| Capital | 25% | Total trading volume deployed |
| Consistency | 20% | Win rate across trades |
| Activity | 15% | Frequency of trades |
| Longevity | 10% | Time active on Polymarket |
Data Freshness
Each feature page refreshes on its own schedule using Next.js ISR:
| Feature | Refresh Rate |
|---|---|
| Hub / Leaderboard | 5 minutes |
| Signal Feed | 2 minutes |
| Recent Activity | 60 seconds |
| Capital Flow | 5 minutes |
| Trading Pairs | 10 minutes |
| Smart Money / Performance | Hourly |
Features
The Whale Tracker is split into 7 specialized views. Each is designed to answer a specific question about smart money behavior.
Real-time smart money patterns
Where whale money is moving
Where whales disagree with the market
Who's making money and how
Whales that trade together
Side-by-side wallet analysis
Deep-dive on any tracked wallet
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as a whale on PolyTrends?
A wallet is classified as a whale if it meets either criterion: a single trade ≥ $5,000, or a total 7-day trading volume ≥ $25,000.
How fresh is the data?
It depends on the feature. The Signal Feed refreshes every 2 minutes, the hub leaderboard every 5 minutes, and Capital Flow every 5 minutes. Smart Money and Performance update hourly. See the full freshness table in the "How It Works" section.
What is the Influence Score?
A 0–100 composite score that measures a wallet's overall market impact. It combines five factors: Profitability (30%), Capital deployed (25%), Consistency/win rate (20%), Activity/trade frequency (15%), and Longevity on Polymarket (10%).
Can I track my own wallet?
Yes — if your wallet meets the threshold, navigate to /whales/wallet/YOUR_ADDRESS and replace YOUR_ADDRESS with your Polymarket wallet address. Your full profile will be available.
What does "divergence" mean in Smart Money?
Divergence is the gap between where whales are positioned and what the market's current price implies. A gap of 15% or more is flagged. For example, if whales hold 70% YES positions but the market price is 45¢, that's a 25-point bullish divergence.
Are whale signals guaranteed to be correct?
No. This is analytics data, not financial advice. Whales can and do make losing bets. Use these insights as one input among many — never as standalone trading signals.
How are Trading Pairs identified?
Two wallets form a pair when they have both traded 3 or more of the same markets within the last 30 days. The more overlap, the stronger the co-trading relationship.
What's the difference between Capital Inflow and a Signal?
Capital Flow tracks the direction and magnitude of whale money across all markets — it's volume-level data. Signals are pattern-triggered events: a single Large Position ($10K+) is a signal, but $3K spread across 5 small trades is just flow data.